Joshua Pollack

Joshua Pollack

Joshua Pollack used to be a consultant to the U.S. government on arms control, nonproliferation, deterrence, and the like. Now he's the editor of the Nonproliferation Review and a Senior Research Associate at the James Martin Center for Nonproliferation Studies (CNS), Middlebury Institute of International Studies at Monterey (MIIS), based in Washington, DC.


All Posts

Berlin Games: A Tale of Hughes Helicopters, Diplomats, and North Korea’s Arms-trading Networks

Peeking under the shroud of North Korea’s Monster Missile

China’s DF-26: A Hot-Swappable Missile?

Hypersonic Glide Vehicles: What are They Good for?

Guest Post: the Odds of Simultaneous Multiple Independent Detector Failures

What sort of deal does North Korea expect?

Who Lost North Korea?

Denuclearization of the Korean Peninsula: Reviewing the Precedents

Friendship without Benefits: North Korea Doesn’t Want Uncle Sam’s Dollars

North Korea, the CTBT, and (maybe?) the end of the nuclear-testing era

Brazil’s Nuclear Program: Perceptions and Realities

Guest post: Halloween comes early for the Iran Deal

Guest Post: Consequences of Testing an H-Bomb in the Pacific

Nuclear Deterrence and the Revenge of Geography

Bombs and Dollars

Brixey-Williams on the legal implications of the nuclear ban

North Korean WMD: A Guide to Online Resources

Daniel Salisbury: A Malaysian Shipyard with North Korean Connections?

Korea and the Limits of Coercive Ambiguity

Skin in the Game: Why Worry about North Korean ICBMs?

The Great North Korea War Scare

Putting the North Korean Threat into Perspective

Syria: A Modest Proposal

Guest Post: The Prague Agenda in a Post-Truth World

Thomas Schelling: Compellence in Asia

Thomas Schelling: Deterrence in Europe

Presidential Command and Control in the Age of Trump

The Range of North Korean ICBMs

Lessons Learned from Eliminating WMD

North Korean Flow-Forming Machines, Ctd.

North Korea and the United States: Diplomacy at an Impasse

North Korean Flow-Forming Lathes

GMD vs. North Korean ICBMs, Ctd.

Iranian HEU Traces: Don’t Panic

North Korea’s ICBM Unveiled

Iran’s Neutron Initiator Test at Parchin?

Can GMD Stop North Korea’s ICBMs?

A Public Service Announcement

AQ Khan and India at CEIP

AQ Khan and India: So What?

Special Delivery from North Korea

Preview of a Coming Attraction

Reverse-Engineering the Grimmett Reports

Rethinking Multinational Consortia

Cascading Failures

A Dead End in Damascus

Syria’s Tibnah Salt Mine Revisited

Amending New START

Korea: Instability Within Stability

North Korea’s Mixed Messages

Что прописано в резолюции сената США по СНВ-3

Another North Korea Reading Comprehension Test

North Korean-Iranian Cooperation

Another North Korean Missile First

North Korea Debuts an IRBM

North Korea’s Carrot and Stick

Over-Enrichment at Natanz

Carnegie is Hiring

Two Time Bombs in New START

Kim Jong Il and the Grim Reaper

Finding Iran’s Next Centrifuge Site

The Great North Korea Reading Comprehension Challenge

Burma, North Korea, and the WSJ

Iran’s New Missile

The Ayatollah Shuts the Door, Again

Some Straight Talk About Iran

Did Syria Admit to Bio-Weapons?

Does Jordan Want It If Vietnam Has It?

Deterrence, North Korea-style

The Logic of a Silo Conversion Ban

South Korea’s “Main Enemy”

On Bombing the Bomb

North Korea’s Nuclear Test That Wasn’t

Iran Sanctions: Now What?

Why Iran Sanctions, Diplomacy Are Hard

Lee Myung-bak's Line Drawn in the Water

Avner Cohen on Israel and South Africa

The Cheonan Report, Continued

An Alternative View of the ZFS

The Cheonan Report

Confidence-Demolition Measure

Israel: Between Dimona and Democracy

"Become the Sun": NK Nuclear (Con)fusion

North Korea's Indigenous Bomb Design

The Dead Hand

Malaysia and the Bomb

Where the NPR Meets in the Middle

The "Lego Block" Nuclear Reactor

The Media, Generals, & Passion of AQ Khan

NATO's Nuclear Opacity

Pyongyang’s Priorities

North Korea: Peace or Else!

Iran Probes The Limits

Closing the Books on TRR Diplomacy

Consensus Emerges on Iran's Centrifuges

N. Korea: Deadly in a Snowball Fight

IC Threat Report on Iran: Sifting Tea Leaves

Hints From Pyongyang: No 3rd Nuclear Test

How Not To Secure the Internet

IR-1 Estimates Revisited

When Disaster Strikes the Capital

Declaratory Policy: An Amplification

Why The JASONs Carry Weight

Emilio Largo's Revenge

Bosworth in Pyongyang

Estimating SWU with Expert Opinion

Iran: Compliance in Defiance?

The Vienna-New York Two-Step

Modified Limited Hangout @ Qom, MNSR

Fuel Swaps v Escrow: Compromise Possible?

Fingar on the 2007 Iran NIE

North Korean Plutonium: Yawn

LEU-TRR: Dialogue of the Deaf

Name That Missile


America's Role in the LEU-TRR Deal

Iran: What Sort of a Deal?

Reading Mark Hibbs in Washington

Why Does North Korea Have a Gas-Graphite Reactor?

France's Role in the LEU-TRR Deal

TRR Tradeoffs

Parallel Fuel Cycles, Revisited

Qom, In The Basement

Testing European Missile Defense

Pief Panofsky on Missile Defense

Parsing Enrichment in North Korea

Nuclear Warfare

Iran Week

Why Iran's Clock Keeps Resetting

Playing Peek-A-Boo With Nuclear Opacity

There Are Idiots

Reasons Not To Underestimate North Korea

News Flash

Why So Few Nodong Tests?

What Is North Korea Capable Of?

Publishing the Unpublishable

Where Is North Korea's IRBM?

Joint Statement on Missile Defense Issues

Institutional Memory

Collision at Sea

Did North Korea Test a Nuke?

Surprise ≠ Intel Failure

What To Expect From North Korea

Oh, Calm Down

Once Upon A Time

Russia's EW Is Worse Than You Thought

FMP Comes Alive

Russia Eyes North Korea

Defensive Transition

Iran's Equinox: FMP Comes Online

Wonk Pissing Contest

Libya's Theory of the Hard Cases

Non-Technological Safeguards

How Much Respect Does A Nuclear Arsenal Get?

Signing Off

Nothing New Beneath The Sun

Safeguards at Natanz

Here We Go 'Round The Mulberry Bush

Iran's Ashura Missile Mystery

Keeping Up With the Wonkses

Nukes With Style

Most Recent Comments

  1. In: Hypersonic Glide Vehicles: What are They Good for?

    That's fair - Avangard is a payload and not a missile. Still, the point remains. Russia could have maintained, as…
  1. In: Hypersonic Glide Vehicles: What are They Good for?

    Your last assertion here is mistaken. New START imposes the same limits on the US and Russia.
  1. In: Who Lost North Korea?

    I don’t know about Putin, but Trump and Kim have used interpreters.


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