Conscious Decoupling
by | 2026-02-07 | No Comments
U.S. Undersecretary of State Tom DiNanno accused China of conducting decoupled, low-yield nuclear tests including on June 22, 2020. Aaron and Jeffrey talk about seismic monitoring of nuclear tests, the role of hydronuclear testing, and what might be going on. Support us over at Patreon.com/acwpodcast!
(Just Like) New START is Over
by | 2026-02-07 | No Comments
The New START treaty has expired leaving the US and Russia without a bilateral limit on offensive strategic arms for the first time in decades. There is reportedly a handshake deal not to do anything drastic for six months while the two sides talk about the outlines of a future deal, but there seems to be little …
GUEST POST: IF YOU CAN’T DODGE A WRENCH: China May be Ill-Equipped to Deal with a Nuclear Accident or Attack
by | 2026-01-26 | No Comments
Today’s guest post is again from Jenny Moss [LinkedIn]. Snowboarder, China Analyst, Team Alumnus, in that order. This one is about PLARF detonation readiness (or rather the lack thereof). Multiple branches of the People’s Liberation Army (PLA) feel they are at risk of suffering a nuclear attack or accident but lack the training to properly …
Oreshnik Again
by | 2026-01-21 | No Comments
Russia has deployed the Oreshnik system in Belarus and then, from Russia, conducted another Oreshnik test. Jefffrey and Aaron discuss how the open source team found the deployment site in Belarus before Russia announced it, what they think Oreshnik is, and how Russia managed to violate two arms control treaties with one missile. Support …
GUEST POST: IF YOU CAN DODGE A WRENCH: How the PLA Plans to Use Hypersonic Weapons
by John Ford | January 13, 2026
Guest Post - BAYWATCH: Identifying Signatures of PLA Rocket Force High-Bay Garages
by John Ford | January 6, 2026
Possible Oreshnik Deployment in Belarus
by Jeffrey Lewis | December 26, 2025
A Pod of Dynamite
by ACW Podcast | November 15, 2025
A Return to Nuclear Testing
by ACW Podcast | November 3, 2025
Guest Post - Always Be Casting: An Estimate of Iranian Solid Rocket Motor Production
by Sam Lair | September 29, 2025
About
Founded in 2004 by Jeffrey Lewis, Arms Control Wonk was the first blog on arms control, disarmament and nonproliferation. It has since been a home to everything that is "too wonky or obscene" for publication about nuclear weapons. The site now features thirty-plus contributors with an archive of over three thousand articles.
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