GUEST POST: IF YOU CAN’T DODGE A WRENCH: China May be Ill-Equipped to Deal with a Nuclear Accident or Attack
by | January 26, 2026 | No Comments
Today’s guest post is again from Jenny Moss [LinkedIn]. Snowboarder, China Analyst, Team Alumnus, in that order. This one is about PLARF detonation readiness (or rather the lack thereof). Multiple branches of the People’s Liberation Army (PLA) feel they are at risk of suffering a nuclear attack or accident but lack the training to properly …
Oreshnik Again
by | January 21, 2026 | No Comments
Russia has deployed the Oreshnik system in Belarus and then, from Russia, conducted another Oreshnik test. Jefffrey and Aaron discuss how the open source team found the deployment site in Belarus before Russia announced it, what they think Oreshnik is, and how Russia managed to violate two arms control treaties with one missile. Support …
GUEST POST: IF YOU CAN DODGE A WRENCH: How the PLA Plans to Use Hypersonic Weapons
by | January 13, 2026 | No Comments
Today’s guest post about PLARF Ludicrous Speed Devices is by Jenny Moss [LinkedIn]. Snowboarder, China Analyst, Team Alumnus, in that order. One piece of technology that has enraptured the People’s Liberation Army Rocket Force (PLARF), the military branch responsible for China’s entire land and air-based conventional and nuclear missile arsenal, is hypersonic weaponry. Hypersonic weapons …
Guest Post – BAYWATCH: Identifying Signatures of PLA Rocket Force High-Bay Garages
by | January 6, 2026 | No Comments
Happy New Year everybody, this guest post is by Jack Ryan Johnson a Middlebury undergrad and promising Apprentice GEOINT Wizard who spent a long time looking deeply into and on to PLARF garages and then detailed his findings for us. The People’s Liberation Army Rocket Force (PLARF), the PLA’s strategic and tactical missile force, is …
Possible Oreshnik Deployment in Belarus
by Jeffrey Lewis | December 26, 2025
A Pod of Dynamite
by ACW Podcast | November 15, 2025
A Return to Nuclear Testing
by ACW Podcast | November 3, 2025
Guest Post - Always Be Casting: An Estimate of Iranian Solid Rocket Motor Production
by Sam Lair | September 29, 2025
A Firstful of Interceptors: ABM Performance During True Promise II
by Sam Lair | September 10, 2025
Pentagon Blocks Ukraine Strikes
by ACW Podcast | September 2, 2025
About
Founded in 2004 by Jeffrey Lewis, Arms Control Wonk was the first blog on arms control, disarmament and nonproliferation. It has since been a home to everything that is "too wonky or obscene" for publication about nuclear weapons. The site now features thirty-plus contributors with an archive of over three thousand articles.
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Russia has deployed the Oreshnik system in Belarus and then, from Russia, conducted another Oreshnik test. Jefffrey and Aaron discuss how the open source team found the deployment site in Belarus before Russia announced it, what they think Oreshnik is, and how Russia managed to violate two arms control treaties with one missile.
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