Years

2009

377 posts

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B61 Replacement and Vacuum Tubes

You may recall the little spring dust-up that Kingston Reif and I had with STRATCOM Commander General Kevin P. Chilton over whether he should be running around with a vacuum tube in his pocket to make the case for warhead…

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Secret Iranian Missile Memos

I have been given access to a series of what appeared to be internal secret Iranian documents by sources I trust. If authentic, and I believe they are, they provide important insights into Iran’s missile development program and have important…

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The Intersection of Two Proposals

The Obama Administration has agreed to start negotiations with Iran on the basis of the latest Iranian proposal. A decision I certainly applaud and fervently hope that we can finesse to include the nuclear issue (an issue that was part…

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Herman Kahn

Herman Kahn has a favored place in my shoe box collection because he followed his logic train to territory where other deterrence strategists feared to tread. Kahn was plus-sized (above), utterly confident, and easily caricatured. A sense of the man’s…

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Missiles on Parade

October 1 is the Sixtieth Anniversary of the founding of the People’s Republic of China. You know what that means: Silly hats! And, of course, missiles on parade! Apparently, this year the wonkporn factor will be higher than average. Kang…

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Parsing Enrichment in North Korea

Last week’s letter of the Permanent Representative of the DPRK to the UN Security Council President — see the KCNA translation — has stirred up a lot of excitement for what it says about uranium enrichment, or, to be precise,…

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Treaty Math

A pop quiz for wonks: Question: What do the following numbers represent? 95, 93, 93, 88, 87, 80, and 74 Answer: The number of Senators voting for the SORT, START I, INF, ABM, START II, Limited Test Ban Treaty and…

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Monitoring the Test Ban

I am working on a series of longer posts related to monitoring the Comprehensive Nuclear Test Ban Treaty, but wanted to share an amusing paragraph from the March 2009 edition of Science & Technology Review, the Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory’s…

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More Debate Re: The EastWest Institute JTA

Diagram of Iranian liquid-propellant missiles from the EWI–JTA Technical Appendix. The latest debate, however, mainly focuses on Iran’s solid-propellant missiles. If I knew a year ago what I know now, I wouldn’t have lost so much money in the stock…

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Pakistan Blocks Consensus in CD

For those us hoping that the Conference on Disarmament would get down to business on negotiation a Fissile Material Cut-Off Treaty, Britain’s PermRep to the CD tweeted some very disappointing news: Conference on Disarmament fails to unblock decision to start…