Avatar photoSecret Iranian Missile Memos

I have been given access to a series of what appeared to be internal secret Iranian documents by sources I trust. If authentic, and I believe they are, they provide important insights into Iran’s missile development program and have important implications for North Korea’s as well. Unfortunately, to protect my sources and the Iranians who …

Avatar photoThe Intersection of Two Proposals

The Obama Administration has agreed to start negotiations with Iran on the basis of the latest Iranian proposal. A decision I certainly applaud and fervently hope that we can finesse to include the nuclear issue (an issue that was part of Iran’s May 2008 submission and one that they have suggested could still be talked …

Avatar photoHerman Kahn

Herman Kahn has a favored place in my shoe box collection because he followed his logic train to territory where other deterrence strategists feared to tread. Kahn was plus-sized (above), utterly confident, and easily caricatured. A sense of the man’s mind can be found in the preface of one of his important books, On Escalation, …

Avatar photoMissiles on Parade

October 1 is the Sixtieth Anniversary of the founding of the People’s Republic of China. You know what that means: Silly hats! And, of course, missiles on parade! Apparently, this year the wonkporn factor will be higher than average. Kang Juan, writing in Global Times, quotes an anonymous source as claiming that China will showcase …