Years · 2017

October 2017

14 posts

Episode36 min

Our Source was the New York Times

The New York Times has a splashy interactive editorial, “Trump’s Nuclear Arsenal.” It’s good, but gets a few things wrong — things that matter like Mutual Assured Destruction, Robert McNamara’s famous thought experiment on sizing US nuclear forces, and how…

Episode30 min

97% Invincible

President Trump said each of the missile defense interceptors at the Ground-based Midcourse Defense site in Alaska has a 97% chance of shooting down a North Korean missile and that two would have a 100% chance. Statistics don’t work like…

Article

“One Last Chance” for Pakistan

Quotes of the week: “Pakistan is now hoist on its own petard. Calling off cross-border terrorism in Kashmir would insure that militancy within Pakistan intensifies, while continuing to support cross-border terrorism would alienate Pakistan even further internationally.” —P.R. Chari, “Nuclear…

Episode24 min

Uranium Fever

No, Hilary Clinton did not sell America’s uranium to Russia. Aaron and Jeffrey attempt to patiently discuss the Uranium One purchase of Willow Creek uranium mine, the US firm that bribed Russian officials to win trucking contracts, and why this…

Article

The JCPOA Will Not Kill Grandma With Cancer

The debate over the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action (JCPOA) can be pretty tiresome. Its not even a debate, so much as it is an exercise in political mobilization.  For the most part, opponents trying whip up opposition are content to…

Episode53 min

Decertification Day

Donald Trump announced a new “strategy”  — loosely defined — for confronting Iran. Trump also will refuse to certify that Iran is implementing its commitments under the Iran nuclear deal, aka the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action (JCPOA), throwing the…

Article

Act I: The Iran Deal Begins to Unravel

Quote of the Week: “Dear Mr. Fantasy play us a tune Something to make us all happy Do anything, take us out of this gloom Sing a song, play guitar, make it snappy” —Stevie Winwood Another wave of leaked accounts…

Article

Guest post: Halloween comes early for the Iran Deal

President Trump has justified his threat to “decertify” the 2015 Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action, or “Iran deal,” less by any material failures of compliance than by asserting that Iran has “violated the spirit of that deal,” which boils down…

Episode45 min

ICAN wins the Nobel Peace Prize

ICAN won the 2017 Nobel Peace Prize for its work on “for its work to draw attention to the catastrophic humanitarian consequences of any use of nuclear weapons and for its ground-breaking efforts to achieve a treaty-based prohibition of such…