11 posts
George Perkovich and Toby Dalton have assessed the possibilities of conflict between India and Pakistan in a timely book, Not War, Not Peace? Motivating Pakistan to Prevent Cross-Border Terrorism (Oxford, 2016). Their bottom line is reflected in the title: India’s…
Trident’s latest test was rather underwhelming. The missile’s flight trajectory was error filled and flew at an unintended target (Disneyworld). Why? The dastardly grey weather, or something more pernicious. Is our dear Dreadnought in trouble? Tune in and find out.…
The changing of the guard from the Obama to the Trump Administration might be a good time to pause and reflect on India’s efforts to gain entry into the Nuclear Suppliers Group. President Barack Obama promised Prime Minister Narendra Modi…
If you study nuclear weapons, you study something secret. Not surprisingly, we spend a lot of time in the arms control community thinking about intelligence estimates. Jeffrey and Scott take a break from the bomb to talk analytic method. The …
Note to readers: An earlier version of this essay was published at ForeignAffairs.com on January 16th. U.S. President-elect Donald Trump will inherit rising nuclear dangers in five regions of the globe. Every one of them could get worse under his watch. Even before…
Jeffrey and Aaron discuss a number of inaccuracies in the public debate over North Korea’s long-range missiles and U.S. missile defenses, while Scott seethes on mute.
The advent of a New Year and a new administration are as good a time as any for taking stock. Decades of hard work to reduce nuclear dangers are at risk. The most consequential but least heralded achievement of the…
Last month Iran raised the specter that it may expand the scope of its nuclear activities, especially if its interpretations concerning what constitutes non-compliance with the JCPOA do not prevail. This was not the first time Iran has dropped this…
Welcome to 2017! I’m still on vacation (can’t you tell?), but Trump sure isn’t. He shot off two tweets last night. North Korea just stated that it is in the final stages of developing a nuclear weapon capable of reaching…
For the first part of this two-part essay, see: Thomas Schelling: Deterrence in Europe. (Now with minor corrections and an update in the middle of the post.) * * * So much for Europe. Let’s consider the role of events…
