JL-3, You know me.
by | 2026-07-16 | No Comments
China has conducted a test of its JL-3 submarine-launched ballistic missile into the open ocean — a departure from its usual practice of lobbing missiles into the desert or splashing them down in domestic waters. Jeffrey and Aaron Stein sit down to talk about why China would test this way: what an open-ocean flight test …
MOU 404
by | 2026-06-30 | No Comments
The US-Iran MOU is humiliating, it was signed at Versailles, and its still not on any government website. In fact, if you try a .gov keyword search for Iran’s commitment to not build nuclear weapons, the top result is Obama’s 2015 Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action. Aaron and Jeffrey work through why Trump was right …
KTSSMing Them Softly
by | 2026-06-30 | No Comments
Jeffrey and I have an article in Survival in which we reveal that, during 2024, South Korea deployed more than 300 Korea Tactical Surface-to-Surface Missile (KTSSM) short-range missiles. The numbers themselves are astonishing. But it’s the basing mode that really alarmed us – these missiles are deployed in fixed, concrete blockhouses, tightly clustered, across three …
Let the Uploading Begin
by | 2026-06-04 | No Comments
From Satan to Sarmat
by ACW Podcast | May 27, 2026
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by ACW Podcast | May 9, 2026
It Really Looks Like A PrSM
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by Sam Lair | March 22, 2026
GUEST POST: ON 'FIRMS' Ground: Can drone innovation in Ukraine be seen from space?
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About
Founded in 2004 by Jeffrey Lewis, Arms Control Wonk was the first blog on arms control, disarmament and nonproliferation. It has since been a home to everything that is "too wonky or obscene" for publication about nuclear weapons. The site now features thirty-plus contributors with an archive of over three thousand articles.
Latest Podcast
China has conducted a test of its JL-3 submarine-launched ballistic missile into the open ocean — a departure from its usual practice of lobbing missiles into the desert or splashing them down in domestic waters. Jeffrey and Aaron Stein sit down to talk about why China would test this way: what an open-ocean flight test actually demonstrates, how it mirrors the way the United States, Russia, France, and other nuclear powers have long tested their sea-based deterrents, and what it tells us that China is increasingly behaving like a normal nuclear weapons state. They also dig into what the test suggests about China’s internal politics — who benefits from testing in a more conventional way, and what it means when the world’s most opaque nuclear program starts doing things everyone can see.
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