Off to New York City for a couple of meetings around the PREPCOM. Drop me a line if you are around. In the meantime, here is aother entry from Michael Krepon’s shoebox on an argument that was later reprised to disastrous consequences: Richard Perle on the lulling effect of arms control: “Democracies will not sacrifice …
North Korea and Game Theory
by | 2009-05-04 | 11 Comments
I had an op ed on Sunday in the Washington Times about what to do about North Korea: Although deeply injurious to U.S. interests, nothing that Kim Jong-il has done is irrational, crazy or, that old orientalist favorite, inscrutable. The North Koreans have repeatedly stated that they would abandon their nuclear weapons for a normal …
Pandemic: What Price Knowledge?
by | 2009-05-02 | 3 Comments
click on the image for a larger version The Mother of All Influenza Viruses. This graph indicates that all the H1N1 viruses that circulated since 1918 were mutations of the Spanish Flu. (From Taubenberger and Reid, Influenza, ed. C. W. Potter, p. 118.) Nothing says dual-use like biology. And, seemingly, nothing worries some policymakers more …
Gates to Triad: Drop Dead
by | 2009-04-30 | 30 Comments
Is the Triad a Cold War relic, like Ice Station Zebra? I have long thought that a significant reduction in nuclear weapons — say 1000 or fewer deployed warheads — would require not merely downloading of warheads, but cuts to force structure and a possible end to the triad (see page 93). One reason for …
