DF-31As on Parade
Update | 11:39 am 2 October I apologize that I cannot figure out how to turn off the autoplay. Am posting the code in the comments — suggestions appreciated. *** Well, the PRC October 1 National Day Parade came and…
Arms Control Wonk
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DF-31As On Parade Revisited
I am unable to turn off the autoplay, so you’ll have to click here for the post on the DF-31As in the Chinese National Day Parade: https://www.armscontrolwonk.com/2485/df-31as-on-parade You’ll want to turn your volume way, way down.
ACW Happy Hour, Thursday, October 8, 6ish
As many of you know, my lovely wife Jill is taking a government job so she can be read in to intelligence compartments that I can’t even dream about. From now on, at dinner, Jill will just sit quietly, thinking…
Kenneth Waltz
The debate between Ken Waltz and Scott Sagan, The Spread of Nuclear Weapons (2nd edition, 2003) is a great teaching tool. Waltz, the academic Grinch of proliferation studies, argues that more proliferation is better than any of the alternatives —…
Geneva: The TRR and Enrichment Abroad
Long time, no speak. Time for a spot of guest blogging at this busy time. Interesting news from the meetings in Geneva today. Iran has agreed, “in principle”, to have some LEU from Natanz further enriched abroad and fabricated into…
Safeguards v. EXPO
Well, I guess Mark Hibbs isn’t going to be getting a building pass to the VIC. That VIC, of course, is the Vienna International Center, home to the IAEA. Hibbs has a long piece on the vicious infighting within the…
Parallel Fuel Cycles, Revisited
Reacting to last week’s Qom revelation, Andreas Persbo wrote that National technical means combined with human intelligence, however, seems to have averted the worst outcome, the establishment of a parallel fuel cycle. (See: Parallel Fuel Cycles, September 25, 2009.) So…
The Kataev Archive
Holy cow. When I read Pavel Podvig’s excellent “The Window of Vulnerability That Wasn’t: Soviet Military Buildup in the 1970s,” I was struck at his sourcing: The main source of these data is the archival collection of Vitalii Kataev at…
Cut and Cover
On the left, a GoogleEarth image dating from March 2005 showing the uncovered facilities existing at that time (before being buried); on the right, the probable main centrifuge hall as it appeared in late September 2009, also before being buried.…
Rethinking US Nuclear Posture
Mike Gerson (the one from CNA, not the Bush speechwriter) and I are giving talks on the Nuclear Posture Review at the Carnegie Endowment today — he on declaratory posture; me on extended deterrence. James Acton is moderating. It will…