Years

2024

18 posts

Article

Kim Jong Un’s Early Valentine’s Day Present

Looks like Valentine’s Day came early this winter for Kim Jong Un. The North Koreans are significantly expanding the February 11 Plant (Feb 11) outside of Hamhung. We think we have identified a new missile assembly building under construction, an…

Article

IAEA Safeguards and Nuclear Disarmament Verification

Last month I published a journal article on this subject, part of a long-term policy research project to explore the concept of irreversibility in nuclear disarmament as called for under, inter alia, the 2000 NPT Review Conference Final Document. This…

Episode30 min

The Oreshnik IRBM

Russia launched an experimental, offensive missile into Ukraine, aimed at the PA Pivdenmash (former Yuzhmash) factory. This is a new world of missile combat, as this looks to be the first use of an IRBM (though not at IRBM ranges)…

Episode32 min

Fred Kaplan and A Capital Calamity

The legendary Fred Kaplan joins Jeffrey to talk about his brand new novel, A Capital Calamity.  Fred and Jeffrey talk through the Fred’s experiences in nuclear strategy and the influences on his new novel, A Capital Calamity, from JFK’s EXCOMM…

Episode31 min

The Big Honking Hyunmoo-V

An absolutely massive mobile ballistic missile was paraded in North…. …wait sorry…. South Korea. Force of habit.    Decker joins Jeffrey to talk about the absolute unit that the ROK just showed off. But don’t worry, it’s just an “SRBM with…

Episode26 min

A Chinese ICBM Test in the Pacific

China tested an ICBM deep into the Pacific Ocean, instead of short-shooting it into PRC deserts.  Decker Eveleth joins Jeffrey to talk about why this is a fascinating change in behavior for the PLA Rocket Force and PRC in general.…

Episode34 min

Iran’s October Missile Raid

Iran just launched what may be the largest single missile raid in history, and Israel claims no Israeli deaths. While we’re still very early in the news cycle, Jeffrey and Aaron start picking apart the information available to look at…

Episode27 min

Busting the Burevestnik

Friend of the Pod Decker Eveleth found the Burevestnik deployment site, it seems! Decker, of the CNA Corporation, has tracked down what appears to be the deployment site of the 9M730 Burevestnik, aka the SSC-X-9 Skyfall, using Planet Labs satellite…

Article

Turkey’s Nuclear Turbines

Since Russia invaded Ukraine in February 2022 we’ve heard a lot of chatter about US and European resolve to sanction or otherwise deter cooperation between the West and Russia’s nuclear industry. A small number of vendors in Europe and the…

Episode32 min

Typhon, Father of Monsters

Jeffrey and his team have been OSINT’ing the heck out of the deployment of the Typhon Strategic Mid-Range Fires (SMRF) ((Typhon Smurf?)) to the Philippines, and tracked down the airport and deployment zone. Recently the U.S. Army deployed the new…