Years · 2016

January 2016

11 posts

Article

Coming Iran, DPRK Space Launches?

Both Iran and North Korea may be about to conduct space launches. According to IRNA, Hossein Dehghan (حسین دهقان, the guy on Rouhani’s left) told the Majlis (fa|en) that Iran would launch a Simorgh rocket (the thingy on Rouhani’s right) during the festivities to…

Article

What’s Our Central Organizing Principle?

Every successful business, cause or social movement needs a central organizing principle, including the Nuclear Enterprise and the Arms Control Enterprise. Under the cloak of safe-sounding deterrence, the Nuclear Enterprise in the United States and Russia is built around Gates…

Episode41 min

Dudes from the Shig

The U.S Treasury Department sanctioned individuals in the UAE and Iran, including some “dudes from the SHIG” for cooperation with KOMID. What the hell is KOMID? Jeffrey and Aaron discuss the Korea Mining Development Corporation, North Korea’s major arms seller…

Article

Arms Racing Redux?

Back in the day – that would be the 1960s, ‘70s and ‘80’s — arms racing was the norm. The “action-reaction” phenomenon ruled. If one superpower unveiled a new weapon system or improved hard-target-kill capabilities, the other superpower was sure…

Article

Developments at the Korla Missile Test Base

Now for a brief interlude from our North Korea programming…I’ve written a few posts here and here on the Korla Missile Test Base. A colleague sent me a note last week asking if I’ve looked at any recent satellite imagery…

Episode44 min

North Korea’s KN-11 Goes Kablooie

North Korea tested a submarine launched ballistic missile called the KN-11. The North Koreans released footage of the test that showed the missile soaring into the heavens. A close analysis of the footage by the Middlebury Institute team, however, determined…

Article

So Far, So Good on the Subcontinent

After Prime Minister Narendra Modi’s whirlwind surprise visit to Lahore on Christmas Day, there was little doubt that spoilers in Pakistan would try to derail improved relations. The operative questions were where, when, and whether the attackers would succeed in shutting down…

Article

Video Analysis of DPRK SLBM Footage

The DPRK released footage on 8 January from a purportedly successful KN-11 SLBM test. There have been press reports that the US intelligence community detected a failed ejection test in November, followed by a successful ejection test in December.  “No…

Article

Responding to North Korea’s Nuclear Test

Predictably, the Wall Street Journal’s editorial page has declared, “North Korea’s test shows the continuing failure of arms control.” The Comprehensive Test Ban Treaty has 183 signatories and 164 ratifications. It sets a global norm against testing nuclear devices that…

Article

North Korean H-Bomb Docs

KCTV has released images of the cover pages of two documents relating to the test, both of which have instructions written by Kim Jong Un.  One of our GRA’s, the multitalented Bo Kim, translated the cover page and Kim’s instructions. It’s…