Authors

Jeffrey Lewis

Writing on ACW 2004–2026 · 2,079 posts

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Just How Big Was Al Kibar Again?

I just love my job. I am like a kid in a candy store with all these photos of Al Kibar. A couple of things don’t add up just yet. Not saying they won’t eventually, but I am trying to…

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Full Text of the Syria Briefing

From a reader. Update: Since the full text is now online at the DNI website, I have moved the full text to the comments.

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First Evidence BoE Was a Reactor

Robin Wright at the Washington Post and David Sanger at the New York Times are reporting that CIA Director Michael Hayden and other intelligence officials will brief the House and Senate Intelligence, Armed Services and Foreign Relations committees on the…

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Hecker on Disablement

Wow, somehow I totally missed that Sig Hecker published the North Korean disablement steps in his last trip report from North Korea : The following constitute the 12 disablement actions as defined by Yongbyon officials: Fuel Fabrication Facility 1) Removal…

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How Many Nukes to Deter China?

After provocative articles in Foreign Affairs (The Rise of U.S. Nuclear Primacy), International Security (The End of MAD? The Nuclear Dimension of U.S. Primacy) and The Atlantic (Superiority Complex: Why America’s growing nuclear supremacy may make war with China more…

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Dutch Ice Hockey

The Second CWC Review Conference (2008) has a nice website and some excellent live blogging by Cheryl Voss and Daniel Feakes. Somehow, though, they both missed (I stand corrected). Cheryl Vos noticed an extraordinary statement by the Dutch Foreign Minister…

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Iran Centrifuge Components

I was looking at all the pretty components laid out on the table around the IR-2 carbon fiber rotor with a ball bearing on top and thought “It would be great to identify all the parts.” So, I sent a…

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ISIS Publishes Heinonen Notes

In March, the Washington Post printed two stories by Joby Warrick about Olli Heinonen’s briefing to the IAEA Board of Governors on weaponization work in Iran, based on the notes of diplomat who attended. I asked “what else is in…

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IR-2s on Display

Nothing says “wonkporn” like a centrifuge rotor, especially one made of carbon fiber. Here is how Iraqi nuclear weaponeer Mahdi Obeidi described his “first time” seeing a URENCO TC-11 segment made of carbon fiber. Then he showed us a centrifuge…

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Happy Hour, Big Hunt, Th @ 6:00

James Acton is going to be in town to give a couple of talks — one at AEI and the other, Nuclear Mind Reading: Iran’s Nuclear Intentions and the IAEA at the New America Foundation on Wednesday at 12:15. (RSVP)…