James Acton and I will both be in Oslo this week for a conference, Achieving the Vision of a World Free of Nuclear Weapons, hosted by the Norwegian Foreign Ministry and the Nuclear Threat Initiative. Even if you can’t join us, you can watch on-line. The Norwegians are knee-deep in this stuff because they are …
IAEA Hints At Pre-2003 Bomb Program
by | 2008-02-23 | 8 Comments
Sorry, I’ve been so quiet lately. Strange combination of being really busy and, when I blog, not being able to finish a post. But ISIS has acquired GOV/2008/4. Although David and Jackie have an excellent write-up and Andy discussed it some, I want to pull out what I think is the most important feature — …
The IAEA Report on Iran
by | 2008-02-22 | 61 Comments
The Institute for Science and International Security has obtained a copy of IAEA Director General Mohamed ElBaradei’s report on Iran. The report makes it clear that Iran has no intention of addressing the most sensitive of the outstanding questions, namely those that are most closely associated with a nuclear weapons development program. Iran continues to …
USA 193 Risk Calculation
by | 2008-02-19 | 31 Comments
In my post yesterday, Don’t Shoot Down USA 193, I voiced my “suspicion … that the expected risk to the ISS crew will be surprisingly competitive with the expected risk to persons on the ground” from the falling satellite. My friend, the geographer Tim Gulden, did the math and it turns out my suspicion seems …
