Avatar photoCheater's Risk

The Stimson Center has a fun scenario, Cheater’s Risk, in which you can attempt to evade international detection in pursuit of bomb. The odds are stacked against you (well, so they are in real life!) I did pretty well, I must admit. I had the UAE pursue aerodynamic enrichment, recovered the uranium from sea-water and …

Avatar photoIran Sanctions: Now What?

So what does the dog do after it catches the car? That is, in effect, the question faced by the leaders of the P5+1, now that they’ve managed to overcome their differences, settle on a draft Iran sanctions resolution, and pass it, 12-2, at the UN Security Council. The text isn’t up on the Security …

Avatar photoIranian Warhead Evolution

The family of Shahab-3 warhead variants as compiled by Tal Inbar and Uzi Rubin. The NRV, the New Reentry Vehicle, is shown on the right. Note it’s a triconic design but with a larger base diameter than the Ghadr-1 warhead. Wonk-friends Tal Inbar and Uzi Rubin are reporting a new warhead variant for the Shahab-3 …

Avatar photoNorth Korea, Iran Meet the Dentist

There are two stories in the press, one stating that Bob Einhorn will become the new coordinator for implementing UN Security Council sanctions against North Korea and another that he will become the top official to enforce sanctions on Iran. It isn’t clear to me whether these are two independent moves, or whether the Obama …