Avatar photoWasted Opportunities with the JCPOA

Bad news abounds for Iranian and US returns to JCPOA compliance. Aaron and Jeffrey talk through the frustration around breakout time requirements, the timidity of the Biden administration, and the shortfalls of the wait-and-see approach.    Links of Note: The Economist article on OSINT, including Arms Control Wonk and the Slack channel, which is filled …

Avatar photoRussia Resumes Burevestnik Testing

Some of our analysis is the subject of a CNN story (“New satellite images show Russia may be preparing to test nuclear powered ‘Skyfall’ missile“) by Zach Cohen. The analysis used synthetic aperture radar (SAR) images provided by Capella Space to detect what looks like another attempt by Russia to test its nuclear powered cruise …

Avatar photoA SECOND SILO FIELD

Matt Korda and Hans Kristensen with the Federation of American Scientists have tracked down what appears to be a second field of missile silos near Hami, Xinjiang.  Aaron, Jeffrey, and Scott gather up to discuss the rapidly increasing number of missile silos, what this means for the shell game theory, how many missiles and warheads …

Avatar photoTopping-off National Missile Defenses for Tac Nuke Reductions?

Lyrics of the week: [way too politically incorrect for this space] – “Under My Thumb” by The Rolling Stones, retort by Shemekia Copeland Decades have passed since the Anti-Ballistic Missile Treaty was negotiated (1972), the Soviet Union dissolved (1991), George W. Bush announced U.S. withdrawal from the treaty (2001), North Korea flight tested a missile capable of …