…get a pod. North Korea has conducted three (and, as I’m typing this, apparently four), ICBM (or ICBM element) tests, with two labelled as “satellite” system tests. Jeffrey and Scott talk through an OSINT Oreo: Good OSINT to identify ICBM tests, BAD OSINT claiming that some agricultural fields were missile support areas, and then more good …
The Bunga Bunga Theory of Deterrence
by | 2022-03-14 | No Comments
Should we be worried that Russia may intentionally use nuclear weapons in Ukraine? Jeffrey and Aaron discuss the role nuclear weapons, conspiracy theories, and misinformation play within conventional wars and escalation dynamics. Aaron posits the Bunga Bunga Theory of Deterrence, wherein an individual actor’s rationality can be gauged by the company they keep. Support us …
All Wars Must End
by | 2022-03-14 | 5 Comments
Quote of the week: “The quickest way to end war is to lose it.” — George Orwell All wars must end, or so we have been told by Gideon Rose and Fred Iklé. But how will Russia’s military campaign in Ukraine end? Or might this war continue without ever really ending? The answer could well …
ICBM Testing at Sunan
by | 2022-03-13 | No Comments
Update: North Korea conducted a failed test of a presumed Hwasong-17 out of Sunan the other day. So, I guess we won’t be getting pictures. An item in the JoongAng Daily caught my eye. A South Korean official claims North Korea is preparing to launch an intercontinental-range ballistic missile from near Sunan Airport. South Korea …
