Arms Control Wonk

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Reasons Not To Underestimate North Korea

In its present state of economic weakness, North Korea is very easy to underestimate. But just because its regime is unspeakable, its people are malnourished, and its electrical grid barely operates, that doesn’t mean that North Korea lacks for skilled…

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PCS #1: Jet Vane Hypothesis

click on the image for a larger version Iraqi destructive quality control test on jet vanes using two different imported batches of graphite. See UNMOVIC’s Compendium, Chapter IV, pp. 739-740. As any regular read of my posts on ACW will…

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News Flash

From KCNA: Bill Clinton Arrives Here Pyongyang, August 4 (KCNA) — Bill Clinton, former president of the United States, and his party arrived here Tuesday by air. They were greeted by Yang Hyong Sop, vice-president of the Presidium of the…

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Why So Few Nodong Tests?

If the paucity of North Korean Nodong MRBM tests prior to deployment doesn’t mean that it’s secretly an old Soviet weapon not seen previously, what does it mean? There are other explanations for a limited testing regime that don’t seem…

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Big Odd Myanmar Box

Over the past couple of days, I’ve been emailing with a couple of colleagues about this very odd building in Myanmar (nee Burma). Staring at that big box was the main reason I tweeted that “This Burma-NORK nuclear link has…

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Prolif. Case Study: Iranian Furnace

click on the image for a larger version Closeup of the cylinder removed from an Iranian furnace. A while ago, I asked if anybody knew what the purpose of a furnace shown in an Iranian video covering the construction of…

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What Is North Korea Capable Of?

As regular readers know, there’s something of a dispute in the wonk world over the nature and origins of the North Korean missile program. Basically, it comes down to two issues: First, did a team of Russian scientists and engineers…

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Morality and the Bomb

The 1980s were a time of recreational shopping, “morning in America,” and a rare, public debate in the United States over the morality of nuclear deterrence. A high-octane confluence of events contributed to this intense moral debate — the first…

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The Kyl Amendment

Lots of debate in the blogosphere among the kids about the Kyl Admendment and modernization. Allow me to recap. Senator Kyl proposed an amendment that would have prohibited any reductions under START Follow-on until the Administration did a bunch of…

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Monitoring or Intelligence Gathering?

The infrasound signals from North Korea’s 4 July 2006 missile launch. Infrasound has become an accepted CTBT monitoring technique in recent years with 60 infrasound stations world-wide as part of the CTBTO network. They also, however, detect a bunch of…