Iran's May 2003 Offer
Over the weekend, I and several colleagues finally got our grubby mitts on the full text of the March May 2003 offer that Iran puportedly sent to the US via the Swiss Ambassador. At least, I think so. To recap:…
The Iran nuclear deal, from first offer to last days
How the deal came together and came apart: the 2003 offer, the fuel swap, the interim deal, the fine print of the JCPOA, and its collapse.
12 posts
IC: Iran Stopped Nuke Program in Fall 2003
Wow. The IC says Iran suspended its clandestine weapons program in Fall 2003. (The NIE and the DDNI statement) I can’t quite believe the IC agrees with something that Paul Kerr and I have been arguing was possible for years…
A Primer on Iran’s Medical Reactor Plans
A swimming pool-type reactor similar to the TRR in Iran whose fuel is apparently the subject of a deal between Iran and the P5+1. The eerie blue light is Cherenkov radiation given off as subatomic particles streak through the surrounding…
Zombie Fuel Swap, Back from Dead, Again
It seems Brazilian President Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva and Turkish Prime Minister Recep Tayyip Erdogan have convinced Iranian President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad to send 1200 kg of low enriched uranium to Turkey in exchange for new fuel for the TRR.…
Iran, Immunity and Diagrams
By now, readers will have seen this strange little diagram foisted upon the reading public by AP’s George Jahn. The significant issues are whether the document is genuine, a question I will return to at the end of this post,…
Interim Deal with Iran
Update | Read the text of the Joint Plan of Action. From the White House release: Halting the Progress of Iran’s Program and Rolling Back Key Elements Iran has committed to halt enrichment above 5%: Halt all enrichment above 5% and…
Frameworks and Agreements
I just wanted to write down a brief explanation about the documents that exist describing the Iran “deal”. There seems to be some confusion about what they are and what they are not. They are a deal in the sense…
Iran Deal: Reading The Fine Print
The text of the nuclear limitation agreement with Iran (AKA “The Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action”) has been released and can be found here [link fixed]. Several key provisions are reprinted below. I’ll post key verification provisions separately, with my assessment of…
Monitoring Provisions of the Iran Agreement
This assessment of the core monitoring provisions of the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action is necessarily hurried and preliminary. I invite ACW readers to weigh in with their comments. The text of key provisions follows my first-cut assessment. The agreement’s…
Iran’s Fifth Step
The ACW crew discusses the JCPOA…again. Iran has announced its 5th step away from the JCPOA. The trio discusses what that means, what it doesn’t mean, and where we go from here. And, for your ease of reference, Iran’s Five…
The Deal Episode 1: The Revelation
In 2002, Corey Hinderstein, a young research analyst, follows a hunch after a routine press conference in Washington, D.C. The results of her scavenger hunt sparked a diplomatic crisis that stretched more than a decade, lasted through two presidencies, and…
The Last Days of the JCPOA
As the President visited various states in the Middle East, Jeffrey and Aaron sat down to eulogize the JCPOA renegotiation attempts as they slowly slide farther off the rails. Iran’s programs continue and it looks like the U.S. is preparing…