Archives for January 2020

Michael KreponPolitical Reflections from the Serengeti

Quote of the week: “Everything has an end.” – Maasai saying Animal herds help explain political behavior and the travails of arms control. For example, after nine days of observing and learning about herds in the Serengeti, I think I now understand Senator Lindsey Graham better. (Explanation to follow.) My wife and I visited Tanzania’s …

ACW PodcastInvestigating PS752 with Open-Source Intelligence

After the Iranian ballistic missile raid on U.S. forces in Iraq, the IRGC appears to have accidentally shot down a Ukrianian airliner flying out of Tehran. The Iranian government took about 3 days to admit that it was shot down, initially denying that it was shot down. Prior to the admission, the Arms Control Wonk …

ACW PodcastIran’s Missile Strikes in Iraq

As it turns out, the ACW trio thinks that Iran’s missiles are accurate. Super accurate. As Anne flies across the United States, Aaron and Jeffrey spoke about Iran’s ballistic missile strikes Ain Assad Air Base in Iraq, why the strike on Erbil may have been an outlier, and how nobody is in control of escalation. …

ACW PodcastIran’s Fifth Step

The ACW crew discusses the JCPOA…again. Iran has announced its 5th step away from the JCPOA. The trio discusses what that means, what it doesn’t mean, and where we go from here.  And, for your ease of reference, Iran’s Five Steps: May 2019: No longer limit stockpiles of LEU or heavy water July 2019: No …

Michael KreponThe Travails of Nuclear-Armed States

Quote of the week: “We do not seek war, we do not seek nation building, we do not seek regime change.” – Donald Trump before a gathering of evangelical supporters in Miami after the targeted killing of Qassem Soleimani, January 3, 2020. Nuclear-armed states are a diverse lot, but they have one thing in common: …

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