Years

2009

377 posts

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The Two Perrys

Former Secretary of Defense Bill Perry owns nuclear issues this week. The Congressionally-empaneled Strategic Posture Commission, which he chaired, has released it’s final report as has the Council on Foreign Relations Task Force on U.S. Nuclear Weapons Policy, which Perry…

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The Lulling Effect of Arms Control

Off to New York City for a couple of meetings around the PREPCOM. Drop me a line if you are around. In the meantime, here is aother entry from Michael Krepon’s shoebox on an argument that was later reprised to…

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North Korea and Game Theory

I had an op ed on Sunday in the Washington Times about what to do about North Korea: Although deeply injurious to U.S. interests, nothing that Kim Jong-il has done is irrational, crazy or, that old orientalist favorite, inscrutable. The…

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Pandemic: What Price Knowledge?

click on the image for a larger version The Mother of All Influenza Viruses. This graph indicates that all the H1N1 viruses that circulated since 1918 were mutations of the Spanish Flu. (From Taubenberger and Reid, Influenza, ed. C. W.…

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Gates to Triad: Drop Dead

Is the Triad a Cold War relic, like Ice Station Zebra? I have long thought that a significant reduction in nuclear weapons — say 1000 or fewer deployed warheads — would require not merely downloading of warheads, but cuts to…

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Reader Comments in the NY Times

Congratulations Rick, you made the New York Times! In the New York Times Magazine, Bill Broad playfully detailed how North Korea’s rocket launch was used in the policy debate over missile defense. For a witty opening, he linked to a…

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Pandemic: Response depends on Virulence

click on the image for a larger version R is the number of secondary cases caused by each infected person; thus R=1.1 means for each ten people sick, one more person will come down with the disease they will transmit…

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Edward Teller on the ABM Treaty

Another dispatch from Michael Krepon’s shoebox, this one related to late Edward Teller (right) and his argument for ratifying the 1972 Anti-Ballistic Missile Treaty: “The ABM Treaty which is up for ratification… merely recognizes political realities. We must make a…

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Pandemics: When do you sound the alarm?

red=confirmed swine flu infections as of 26 April 2009 orange=suspected infections To put this into SAT format: Public health surveillance is to pandemics (and bio-weapons) as ballistic early warning radars are to nuclear war. In addition to sharing an early…

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Once Upon A Time

Some people have been wondering what happened to TotalWonkerr.com. Well. Glad you asked. ONCE UPON A TIME, there was a great island called Atlantis, west of the Pillars of Herakles. (Left at Gibraltar, then a couple blocks down — boom,…