Avatar photoMissile Defense, Russian reaction …

Bill Gertz reports Rummy/’s every word with the enthusiasm of an eromenos: Defense Secretary Donald H. Rumsfeld took a jab at critics of U.S. missile defense efforts during a speech last week in Huntsville, Ala. He noted his cordial discussions days earlier with Russian officials on missile defense and said that critics, primarily liberal weapons-control …

Avatar photoIntelligence Analysis and Bayesian Analysis

I am writing a piece for Arms Control Today on foreign counterspace systems. The mandate was to summarize foreign counterspace capabilities to accompany an article being written by Michael Krepon. The more I look, the more I realize that the intelligence community on this issue is all method, no evidence. Most people reason by taking …

Avatar photoChina and Russia Submit Non-papers in CD

China and Russia submitted a pair of non-papers to the Conference on Disarmament in speeches by Ambassadors Leonid A. Skotnikov (Russia) and Hu Xiaodi (China). The two speeches had a de facto division of labor, with Skotnikov talking substance and Hu talking process. Skotnikov’s reinforced the general argument that this is about rebuilding US-Russian strategic …

Avatar photoNuclear Information Project

Hans M. Kristensen, formerly of the Nautilus Institute and now a consultant to the National Resources Defense Council, has a new project and website. The Nuclear Information Project “is a private, independent, and non-profit project created with the purpose of providing the public with access to declassified documents and analysis about nuclear weapons policy and …