Damn. Just finished Lyle Goldstein and William Murray’s “Undersea Dragons: China/’s Maturing Submarine Force,” (International Security, Spring 2004, pp.161-196). It contains what I would call several factual errors. This requires some additional research, but some things are awfully suspicious. For example, take the paragraphs concerning China/’s plans for the future of its sea-based nuclear deterrent …
CISAC SMACKDOWN!
by | 2004-08-30 | No Comments
CISAC has made audio files of its August 11 Seminar Post-Cold War U. S. Nuclear Strategy:A Search for Technical and Policy Common Ground available on their website. Representative David Hobson (R-OH) just takes the piss out of the nuclear weapons complex — he thinks “some of the staff and certainly much of thinking [at the …
Missile Defense, Russian reaction …
by | 2004-08-29 | No Comments
Bill Gertz reports Rummy/’s every word with the enthusiasm of an eromenos: Defense Secretary Donald H. Rumsfeld took a jab at critics of U.S. missile defense efforts during a speech last week in Huntsville, Ala. He noted his cordial discussions days earlier with Russian officials on missile defense and said that critics, primarily liberal weapons-control …
Intelligence Analysis and Bayesian Analysis
by | 2004-08-28 | No Comments
I am writing a piece for Arms Control Today on foreign counterspace systems. The mandate was to summarize foreign counterspace capabilities to accompany an article being written by Michael Krepon. The more I look, the more I realize that the intelligence community on this issue is all method, no evidence. Most people reason by taking …
