Avatar photoNATO Expansion and the Great Unraveling of Arms Control

Quotes of the week: “An alliance is like a chain. It is not made stronger by adding weak links to it.” — Walter Lippmann, Today and Tomorrow column, August 5, 1952 “An alliance is effective only to the extent that it reflects a common purpose and that it represents an accretion of strength to its members.” — Henry …

Avatar photoPolitical Reflections from the Serengeti

Quote of the week: “Everything has an end.” – Maasai saying Animal herds help explain political behavior and the travails of arms control. For example, after nine days of observing and learning about herds in the Serengeti, I think I now understand Senator Lindsey Graham better. (Explanation to follow.) My wife and I visited Tanzania’s …

Avatar photoInvestigating PS752 with Open-Source Intelligence

After the Iranian ballistic missile raid on U.S. forces in Iraq, the IRGC appears to have accidentally shot down a Ukrianian airliner flying out of Tehran. The Iranian government took about 3 days to admit that it was shot down, initially denying that it was shot down. Prior to the admission, the Arms Control Wonk …

Avatar photoIran’s Missile Strikes in Iraq

As it turns out, the ACW trio thinks that Iran’s missiles are accurate. Super accurate. As Anne flies across the United States, Aaron and Jeffrey spoke about Iran’s ballistic missile strikes Ain Assad Air Base in Iraq, why the strike on Erbil may have been an outlier, and how nobody is in control of escalation. …