Jennifer Mackby and Edward Ifft remind us that START is set to expire and that letting START expire would suck: The crowning international security agreement that reduced and stabilized nuclear forces in the former Soviet Union and the United States is set to expire in 2009. [snip] START established an ingenious and highly effective monitoring/verification …
What About the OTHER Bomb Factory?
by | 2007-04-20 | 15 Comments
Dafna Linzer helpfully confirms that the IC is sticking with its 2015 estimate for an Iranian bomb, noting that Iran still cannot operate continuously its cascades of centrifuges: “The whole game for the Iranians is to present a fait accompli,” said one U.S. official who agreed to discuss sensitive aspects of the program on the …
1,300 Centrifuges at the FEP
by | 2007-04-18 | 12 Comments
Ah, the mighty “told you so.” Paul and moi expressed skepticism last week that Iran had 3,000 centrifuges, sticking with the six cascades (984) reported at the end of March plus one or more 164-machine cascades after. Now, Paul points to AP, Reuters (Heinrich) and AFP reporting “Iran has provided information to the agency that …
More Nuclear Terrorism
by | 2007-04-18 | 1 Comment
Mike Levi and Graham Allison are having a little throwdown over “How Likely is a Nuclear Terrorist Attack on the United States?” on the CFR website. Oddly, both agree that the stated topic of discussion—the probability of an attack—is irrelevant: Levi: “How likely is a nuclear terrorist attack on the United States? I doubt anyone …
