Ah, the mighty “told you so.” Paul and moi expressed skepticism last week that Iran had 3,000 centrifuges, sticking with the six cascades (984) reported at the end of March plus one or more 164-machine cascades after. Now, Paul points to AP, Reuters (Heinrich) and AFP reporting “Iran has provided information to the agency that …
More Nuclear Terrorism
by | 2007-04-18 | 1 Comment
Mike Levi and Graham Allison are having a little throwdown over “How Likely is a Nuclear Terrorist Attack on the United States?” on the CFR website. Oddly, both agree that the stated topic of discussion—the probability of an attack—is irrelevant: Levi: “How likely is a nuclear terrorist attack on the United States? I doubt anyone …
Show Me the Money
by | 2007-04-18 | 4 Comments
After reading for the last week that North Korea is just waiting for the money, I’ve started to wonder what the big deal is; just take it already. Turns out, they haven’t been able to withdraw it from the bank, unless of course they want $25 million in bank notes. Although the $25 million has …
ASATs and Crisis Instability
by | 2007-04-15 | 22 Comments
This is a slide from an August 2005 presentation by Colonel Rick Patenaude, chief of the deterrence and strike division within Air Force Space Command (AFSPC), entitled, Prompt Global Strike Update. I’ve posted the slide, becuase Patenaude reveals something very profound and dangerous about China’s recent anti-satellite test. A few weeks ago, when asked about …
