This is the first in a series of posts I am writing on True Promise II to complement the piece I did on ABM expenditures during the 12 Day War. I hope it will also serve as a corrective to some poor quality information that has been circulating since the start of the missile exchanges …
Ninety Percent Of The Time, The Missile Works Every Time: Iranian Missile Failure Rates During True Promise II
by | 2025-08-22 | 1 Comment
Fly Burevestnik Fly!
by | 2025-08-22 | No Comments
The Slack channel noticed that Russia was gearing up to test the SSC-X-9 Skyfall nuclear-powered cruise missile (aka Burevestnik), which Jeffrey and co. confirmed with satellite images. Reuters picked it up, noting how awkward all this was coming, as it did, just as Putin flew to Alaska to meet with Donald Trump. Aaron and Jeffrey …
Mad Max MANPADS in Yemen
by | 2025-08-21 | No Comments
Given the ongoing conflict in the Middle East and Operation Rough Rider, the U.S. air campaign against the Houthis conducted from March to May, 2025, we have been thinking about Houthi missiles more than usual. A surprising detail which emerged in reporting about the Trump administration’s decision to end the air campaign was the effectiveness …
Thaqib-1 Anti-Air Missiles, In This Climate!? Potential Limitations of Houthi Ingenuity
by | 2025-08-21 | No Comments
What do the Houthis and Mad Max have in common? They share an amazing tenacity when it comes to being scrappy with their supplies. For example, this Houthi technical isn’t exactly Mad Max canon, but still embodies the spirit of the DIY universe. Here we have a Soviet R-60 missile that was sent to South …
