Avatar photoThe Kyl Amendment

Lots of debate in the blogosphere among the kids about the Kyl Admendment and modernization. Allow me to recap. Senator Kyl proposed an amendment that would have prohibited any reductions under START Follow-on until the Administration did a bunch of stuff he liked. A much-watered down amendment passed, along with some other provisions including reauthorization …

Avatar photoMonitoring or Intelligence Gathering?

The infrasound signals from North Korea’s 4 July 2006 missile launch. Infrasound has become an accepted CTBT monitoring technique in recent years with 60 infrasound stations world-wide as part of the CTBTO network. They also, however, detect a bunch of other atmospheric phenomena, as Bharath Gopalaswamy has illustrated. I am particularly interested in using these …

Avatar photoCTBT Scope Note

I’ve been meaning to write something about the scope of the CTBT — this ongoing debate about whether the Russians believe so-called hydronuclear tests are permitted under the treaty I don’t find compelling the evidence that Russia has a different definition, let alone that they are conducting tests that over time will alter the military …

Avatar photoPublishing the Unpublishable

There was some heartburn in the comments about the heat-to-light ratio in Jeff’s post on the Washington Post and the Joint Threat Assessment on Iran. So let’s see if we can’t address the same topic from a slightly different angle. Getting dismissive reactions from senior government officials is nothing new for outside experts who have …