Avatar photoSafeguards and the NPT review conference

These days, the dignified art of arms control verification is both lauded and lambasted in the conference rooms of UN Headquarters. Having spent a week in New York, I feel fairly ready to tell a tale of mild schizophrenia in States’ attitudes towards confidence-building through transparency and verification. The CTBT and its verification regime has …

Avatar photoConfidence-Demolition Measure

From the Dept. of Two Cents. With all due respect to Geoff’s take, the latest Iranian position in the endless saga of the Zombie Fuel Swap is not, properly speaking, a confidence-building measure; it’s a confidence-demolition measure. Except for one very important feature, the new Iranian stance is quite close to previous ideas discussed by …

Avatar photoCBMs Gone Wild

If confidence building measures (CBM) were people, the TRR refueling deal would be a college student partying it up in Cancun, complete with all the risky behavior usually associated with that lifestyle. Why didn’t the West simply say, “Thanks, but no thanks” when Iran started to try to change the terms of the deal? Instead, …

Avatar photoZombie Fuel Swap, Back from Dead, Again

It seems Brazilian President Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva and Turkish Prime Minister Recep Tayyip Erdogan have convinced Iranian President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad to send 1200 kg of low enriched uranium to Turkey in exchange for new fuel for the TRR. Robert Naiman gets off the best line, even if it isn’t quite fair, saying “It’s …