Avatar photoSetting Expectations for a DPRK Test

North Korea’s announcement of an impending nuclear test refers to a “a nuclear test of higher level which will be carried out by it in the upcoming all-out action…”  Most people seem to be focusing on the possibility of a device using highly enriched uranium — which is probably right but maybe not the whole …

Avatar photoIs Arms Control Dead (Again)?

David Hoffman tapped a thoughtful piece, “Is Nuclear Arms Control Dead?” that appears on Foreign Policy’s website. Nuclear arms control has been declared dead on many occasions, including when the Soviet Union broke a nearly three-year-long moratorium on atmospheric tests in 1961, when it invaded Afghanistan in 1979, and when the Arms Control and Disarmament …

Avatar photoAgent 15 Items

Well, it’s late at night and my Scotch is empty.  So I will make this quick. Here is an image (and .pdf) of the 1998 UK document on Agent 15 that I mentioned in my column for Foreign Policy (Buzz Bomb: Why everyone’s wrong about Assad’s zombie gas).  It’s not much to look at: The reference …

Avatar photoWard Wilson Wednesdays

Yeah, I know it’s Thursday — GET OFF MY CASE. My colleague at the Monterey Institute, Ward Wilson, has a new book out entitled Five Myths About Nuclear Weapons. Ward and I disagree about some things, but I am always up for an argument about the epistemology of nuclear deterrence and  manual approaches to elephant …