Avatar photoCluster Bombs

Believe it or not, the gray battleship of the establishment’s fleet, Foreign Affairs, published an article decrying the use of cluster bombs during the Vietnam War. I can believe it because I was the author. How in the world did this staid journal publish an essay by an anti-war activist titled, “Weapons Potentially Inhumane: The …

Avatar photoMaking Yield Estimates

Update | James says I misrepesented his method, which I may well have done.  He is going to post a comment that explains his method in better detail than I have apparently done. Apologies that it took so long to post the companion piece on yield estimation to my Foreign Policy column, North Korea’s Big …

Avatar photoYield Estimation Placeholder

It’s late, I am tired.  I’ve got the better part of a post done, but I’ll finish it in the morning. Short version: don’t spend too much time estimating yield using the USGS Mb number.  It gives you only a very rough approximation and there are better ways for seismologists to do it.  Until then, …

Avatar photoPOTUS in Situ for SOTU

On February 12th, the President of the United States will deliver his State of the Union address before a joint session of Congress. Passages about nuclear dangers are usually included on these occasions. I asked Stimson’s Jonathan Fox to read all of these speeches, going back to President Truman, and to pass along the choicest …