This post is from February 2013. Facts and links may have changed since. See more from that month

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Yield Estimation Placeholder

It’s late, I am tired.  I’ve got the better part of a post done, but I’ll finish it in the morning.

Short version: don’t spend too much time estimating yield using the USGS Mb number.  It gives you only a very rough approximation and there are better ways for seismologists to do it.  Until then, it’s “several” kilotons or use a range.  A very big range.

Jeffrey Lewis

Writing on ACW 2004–2026

Dr. Jeffrey Lewis is the founding publisher of Arms Control Wonk.com. He is the Director of the East Asia Nonproliferation Program at the James Martin Center for Nonproliferation Studies at the Middlebury Institute of International Studies at Monterey. His also a non-resident affiliate at Stanford's Center for Security and International Cooperation and a Contributing Editor to Survival.

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