Quote of the week: “If arms control were killed, it would have to be reinvented.” – Paul Warnke The canonical objectives of Cold War-era arms control were laid out in the seminal book by Thomas Schelling and Mort Halperin, Strategy and Arms Control (1961): the avoidance of a war that neither side wants, minimizing the …
Snooping on Denuclearization
This post is co-authored with David Schmerler. We read a lot of newspaper stories, some of which seem … unreliable. NORTH KOREA’S NUCLEAR TEST MOUNTAIN COLLAPSED. NORTH KOREA WILL ABANDON ITS ICBMS. FRANCE GETS ALL THE BOMBS. One of the reason we like OSINT, especially satellite images, is that we can actually see things that …
North Korean Nuclear Tunnels
Kim Jong Un said he is closing the nuclear test site at Punggye-ri. But if outside inspectors and exports aren’t allowed in, it could just be a PR stunt with no substantive contribution to “denuclearization.” Jeffrey and Aaron talk about what this means for North Korea, why inspectors and outside experts need to be allowed …
Whiffs of Grapeshot
Quote of the week: “Angels and ministers of grace defend us!” – William Shakespeare, Hamlet, Act I, Scene IV The master of self-inflicted wounds has done it again. This time, President Donald Trump is walking away from meaningful, verifiable limits on Iran’s bomb program. The constraints on Iran’s nuclear program embedded in the 2015 Joint …
