Avatar photoThe Libya Model and North Korean Nukes

What is going on with the Trump-Kim summit following the recent cancellation of a DPRK-ROK meeting? Will Trump and Kim meet? And how does John Bolton fit into all of this? Today, Aaron and Jeffrey discuss the latest twists and turns in the run-up to the Singapore summit, and raise broader questions about denuclearization and …

Avatar photoA Note on China’s Implementation of UNSCR 2375

My colleagues Andrea Berger, Cameron Trainer, Shea Cotton, and I have published a CNS occasional paper on North Korea’s IT networks. Part of this research involved looking into Chinese companies in the network and sifting through business registration documents provided by the China Administration for Industry and Commerce (AIC). During the course of the investigation, …

Avatar photoOn the Objectives of Arms Control

Quote of the week: “If arms control were killed, it would have to be reinvented.” – Paul Warnke The canonical objectives of Cold War-era arms control were laid out in the seminal book by Thomas Schelling and Mort Halperin, Strategy and Arms Control (1961): the avoidance of a war that neither side wants, minimizing the …

Avatar photoSnooping on Denuclearization

This post is co-authored with David Schmerler. We read a lot of newspaper stories, some of which seem … unreliable.  NORTH KOREA’S NUCLEAR TEST MOUNTAIN COLLAPSED.  NORTH KOREA WILL ABANDON ITS ICBMS.  FRANCE GETS ALL THE BOMBS. One of the reason we like OSINT, especially satellite images, is that we can actually see things that …