Avatar photoIncreasingly Tenuous Strategic Stability

Quote of the week: “Strongman politics are ascendant … whereby elections and some pretense of democracy are maintained—the form of it—but those in power seek to undermine every institution or norm that gives democracy meaning.” — Barack Obama’s July 17, 2018 speech in Johannesburg on the occasion of the 100th anniversary of Nelson Mandela’s birth. …

Avatar photoPutin and Trump Meet at Helsinki

Quotes of the week: “When America does not lead malign actors fill the void to the disadvantage of the United States”  — Trump administration National Security Strategy, December 2017 “We will compete and lead in multilateral organizations so that American interests and principles are protected.”  — Trump administration National Security Strategy, December 2017 “We must upgrade our …

Avatar photoNorth Korea’s New Old Enrichment Site: Kangson

KANGSON.  We have the (probable) location of North Korea’s original enrichment site: Kangson, now called Chollima. This is probably the spot where the DPRK has been enriching uranium since the early 2000’s, which has previously not been openly identified!  Jeffrey, Grace Liu, and Dave Schmerler combed over information dropped by friend-of-the-pod Ankit Panda. Jeffrey, Aaron, and …

Avatar photoThe Holy Grail of Deterrence Stability

Quotes of the week: “The imminent possibility of nuclear escalation will impose stringent limits on the conduct of conventional conflict. Both sides will be receptive to direct or indirect mediation, due to which the conflict could be quickly concluded… Instead of TNWs [tactical nuclear weapons), the most important factor that can destabilize deterrence is the …