Collections

War in space? ASATs, debris and the rules of the road

China’s 2007 test, the USA-193 shoot-down, colliding satellites and laser sites: the case for rules in orbit, and the weapons that make it urgent.

Article

Chinese Test ASAT?

I noticed this blurb on SEESAT today: I’ve been hearing murmurings around the community here in Washington that there may have been an extremely energetic event (satellite break-up?) in the last week or so in the LEO altitude range (700-1000…

Article

ASATs and Crisis Instability

This is a slide from an August 2005 presentation by Colonel Rick Patenaude, chief of the deterrence and strike division within Air Force Space Command (AFSPC), entitled, Prompt Global Strike Update. I’ve posted the slide, becuase Patenaude reveals something very…

Article

The Shot

That’s what Ambassador James Jeffrey’s called the decision to use an an Aegis SM-3 to try to shoot down USA 193 in the next 3-12 days. (Transcript should be posted here ; video at the Pentagon Channel.) Holding the aside…

Article

Bullsh*t Hydrazine Story

Greetings from the Atlanta Airport — I am off to the Republic of Korea this week. Before I go, I wanted to share another great talk I heard from the meeting George Lewis hosted at Cornell. Yousaf Butt, now at…

Article

Cosmic Clockwork

Click on the image for a larger version Just how much warning do you need? If a strange satellite came within 10 km of your satellite every month, would you start to worry? Apparently not, not that is, if you…

Article

What is a Space Weapon?

Many have tried to define a space weapon, myself included. None of us have come up with a satisfactory definition, which is one on many reasons why a treaty banning space weapons is not in the cards. After the Bush…

Article

Inferred vs. Demonstrable Deterrence

The Stimson Center will release an edited volume in September comparing and contrasting deterrence against nuclear and space warfare. Here’s a preview. Nuclear deterrence and space deterrence have common elements as well as distinct differences. No difference is more striking…

Episode38 min

Satellites Under Threat: The Spread of Hit-To-Kill

What are the implications of the spread of hit-to-kill? What are the differences between ground based missile defense interceptors and anti-satellite weapons? Why is China continuing to develop ground based anti-satellite weapons? Why did the US feel the need to…

Article

Korla Missile Test Complex Revisited

Catherine here.  For the past year, Jeffrey and I have been looking at China’s Korla Missile Test Complex in Xinjiang, which is where we believe China conducts test launches of its hit-to-kill interceptor.  Jeffrey put up a brief post about…

Episode33 min

Russia’s Nudol Anti-Satellite Missile Test

In mid-April, Russia tested a direct ascent anti-satellite missile (DA ASAT), the Nudol/PL19, against a point in space. Anti-satellite weapons are an old favorite of the pod, so Anne, Aaron, and Jeffrey meet to discuss the history of anti-satellite weapons,…

Episode31 min

American ASAT Controls

The U.S. has unilaterally committed to not conducting destructive anti-satellite missile tests! Jeffrey and Aaron walk through what the U.S. has actually normatively committed to, what this means for potential future attempts at arms control in space, and some of…

Article

The Bohu Laser Facility, Part 1: History and Organisation

For the past 18 months, Jeffrey and I have been conducting research into a Chinese military site near Bosten Lake, more commonly called Bohu, where the PLA Strategic Support force is developing laser capabilities. In the process, we’ve discovered a…

Article

The Bohu Laser Facility, Part 2: Operations

Note, this is the second of 2 posts on this subject. You can find part 1 here. Introduction In part 1, we presented new research regarding the Bohu laser facility. That research focused on the history and organisation of the…