Years · 2021

June 2021

11 posts

Episode34 min

Nuclear Silos in the Chinese Desert

Decker Eveleth and Jeffrey Lewis’s team at CNS have found 119 silos for ICBMs out in the deserts of China. That’s the largest expansion of PRC silos in history, by far, but it isn’t totally clear what is going on,…

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No Cities

Quotes of the week: “Most of what we call civilization depends on reciprocal vulnerability.” – Thomas C. Schelling, “What Went Wrong with Arms Control?” “With nuclear weapons available, the restraint of violence cannot await the outcome of a contest of…

Episode35 min

The Space Launch Simorgh-asbord

Jeffrey’s team is at it again.  This time, they (and Jonathan McDowell!) caught an unannounced (and failed) Iranian space launch attempt and have now caught what appears to be a second unannounced (and failed) Iranian space launch attempt.  The failed…

Episode40 min

The Relevance of the Nuclear Posture Review

Is the Nuclear Posture Review something worth doing, or a massive waste of time and political capital? Jeffrey and Aaron vote “waste.” The NPR takes up a ton of time, leaves policy on autopilot during its duration, and burns a…

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After WMD Use, Then What?

Verse of the week: “Spell the spiel of cause and effect,/ Ride the long rail of fact after fact;/ What curled the plume in the drake’s tail/ And put the white ring round his neck?” — Wendell Berry, “For the…

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Go Big or Go Home?

Quotes of the week: “Where there is no vision, there is no hope.” — George Washington Carver “The enlightened ruler is heedful, and the good general full of caution.” — Sun Tzu The June 16th meeting between Presidents Joe Biden…