Years · 2018

July 2018

10 posts

Episode33 min

North Korea’s Continuing Missile Production

Ellen Nakashima and Joby Warrick have a bombshell story about North Korea producing one, possible two, Hwasong-15 ICBMs at its Sanumdong facility.  Aaron and Jeffrey discuss the role that MIIS and open source played in corroborating the report. This episode…

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Tom Schelling, Mini-Nukes and the Nuclear Taboo

Quote of the week: “The most spectacular event of the past half century is one that did not occur. We have enjoyed sixty years without nuclear weapons exploded in anger. What a stunning achievement – or, if not achievement, what…

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Recent Activity at Nampo

My colleagues Catherine Dill, Cameron Trainer and I were reminded when looking at satellite imagery of Nampo, taken yesterday morning, that North Korea’s evasive tactics are successfully keeping the country’s coal and iron exporters in business. Prior to being sanctioned by the UN,…

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Increasingly Tenuous Strategic Stability

Quote of the week: “Strongman politics are ascendant … whereby elections and some pretense of democracy are maintained—the form of it—but those in power seek to undermine every institution or norm that gives democracy meaning.” — Barack Obama’s July 17,…

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Putin and Trump Meet at Helsinki

Quotes of the week: “When America does not lead malign actors fill the void to the disadvantage of the United States”  — Trump administration National Security Strategy, December 2017 “We will compete and lead in multilateral organizations so that American interests…

Episode41 min

North Korea’s New Old Enrichment Site: Kangson

KANGSON.  We have the (probable) location of North Korea’s original enrichment site: Kangson, now called Chollima. This is probably the spot where the DPRK has been enriching uranium since the early 2000’s, which has previously not been openly identified!  Jeffrey,…

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The Holy Grail of Deterrence Stability

Quotes of the week: “The imminent possibility of nuclear escalation will impose stringent limits on the conduct of conventional conflict. Both sides will be receptive to direct or indirect mediation, due to which the conflict could be quickly concluded… Instead…

Episode54 min

KCN-eh? June’s other North Korea Developments

A Canadian reviews the last month’s news with two special guests. Andrea talks to CNS Senior Research Associate Melissa Hanham and FAS Adjunct Fellow Ankit Panda as they go through the trajectory of U.S./DPRK diplomacy after the Singapore Summit, parse through the…

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Chauncey Gardner, Redux

Quote of the week: “The whole visible world is only an imperceptible atom in the ample bosom of nature. No idea can approach it.” — Blaise Pascale Note to readers: Every two years or so, Guest Contributor Chauncey Gardner weighs…

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North Korea Expanding Key Missile Site

This post is authored by Jeffrey Lewis and Dave Schmerler Despite the April 27 Panmunjom Declaration, in which North and South Korea “confirmed the common goal of realizing, through complete denuclearization, a nuclear-free Korean Peninsula,” satellite images captured by Planet show…