Years · 2014

June 2014

14 posts

Article

Smerch or Toksa?

Well, I am off to Paris.  But before I go, I want to mention something that is puzzling me. You undoubtedly noticed that Rodong Sinum (Korean|English) carried a story about Kim Jong Un attending test launches of “newly developed ultra-precision tactical…

Episode28 min

The Cruise Missile Conundrum

Are cruise missiles proliferating? Are the North Koreans in the cruise missile business? How has open source helped analysts track cruise missile proliferation? Today, Jeffrey and Aaron discuss North Korea’s latest youtube sensation, Dennis Gormley’s Missile Contagion, and the likelihood…

Article

Oryx Blog on DPRK Arms Exports

One of the nice things about the silliness that ensued following my pair of articles for 38North on the North Korean Kh-35 is that I discovered a bunch of new people doing open source work.  We’ve known about the Arkenstone,…

Article

Ferenc on a 2-Stage Iran Deal

Princeton has a proposal that would allow Iran to transition, over time, to more capable centrifuges operated in a multilateral framework.  There have been responses by ISIS (David Albright, not the terrorist group!) and Mark Fitzpatrick at IISS. My colleague at Monterey…

Article

Adelman on Reykjavik

The Nonproliferation Review will be publishing my book review of Ken Adelman’s Reagan at Reykjavik: Forty-Eight Hours that Ended the Cold War. (Where would we be without publishing license and hyperbolic subtitles?) In the meantime, here are some quotes from…

Episode31 min

Open Source and Arms Control

How has open source impacted arms control and nonproliferation research? How has work done by the likes of Eliot Higgins impacted our understanding of the conflict in Syria? How have other scholars used open source to enhance their research? Today,…

Article

FYRP: Damned If You Do…

Finally, the long awaited return! In the Middle East, the arms control community has been fixated on only chemical and nuclear arms proliferation, and reasonably so, concerning the Asad regime’s stockpile of chemical weapons and nuclear talks with the Rouhani…

Article

Fasten Seat Belts, Please

Events on the subcontinent are moving quickly, with uncertain outcomes. In short order, Prime Minister Narendra Modi won a resounding mandate. Prime Minister Nawaz Sharif attended his oath-taking, a savvy symbolic gesture of potential import. One faction of the Pakistani…

Article

Nuclear Weapons Transparency

Greetings from Wilton Park. I am sitting here next to the Big Swede himself, very occasional contributor Andreas Persbo. He says tjenare. Did you know the UK nearly let the Soviets see inside a Blue Danube nuclear warhead in 1961?  Talk about…

Article

The T-Word & Iran Negotiations

Transparency is an elusive commodity in international nuclear affairs. Routinely cited as a universal virtue and not without a certain sanctimoniousness, this aspiration is sacrificed time and time again on the altar of political expediency. Transparency doesn’t factor into the IAEA’s…