Years · 2013

February 2013

13 posts

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Ward Wilson Wednesdays Part 4

Yeah, so I missed a couple of Ward Wilson Wednesdays. Suck it. Ward’s final contribution contains an elaborated version of my favorite joke about the epistemology of deterrence.  Like the others, it’s an enjoyable read.  It’s been a pleasure hosting…

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FSA Overruns Al Kibar

Update | 10:24 pm 25 February 2013 Our reader friend sends along a fourth, high resolution video in which the narrator explains that the missiles on stationary launchers were to fired from inside the building, through openings in the roof.…

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The Tortoise and the Hare

Here’s a new development: some in India now worry in public about Pakistan’s nuclear capabilities. Indian influentials tend to match up to China and look down on Pakistan. Lately, New Delhi’s strategic calculations have become more complicated. Vice Admiral (ret.)…

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Cluster Bombs

Believe it or not, the gray battleship of the establishment’s fleet, Foreign Affairs, published an article decrying the use of cluster bombs during the Vietnam War. I can believe it because I was the author. How in the world did…

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Making Yield Estimates

Update | James says I misrepesented his method, which I may well have done.  He is going to post a comment that explains his method in better detail than I have apparently done. Apologies that it took so long to…

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Yield Estimation Placeholder

It’s late, I am tired.  I’ve got the better part of a post done, but I’ll finish it in the morning. Short version: don’t spend too much time estimating yield using the USGS Mb number.  It gives you only a…

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POTUS in Situ for SOTU

On February 12th, the President of the United States will deliver his State of the Union address before a joint session of Congress. Passages about nuclear dangers are usually included on these occasions. I asked Stimson’s Jonathan Fox to read…

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Inappropriate Target

Mother Jones and other groups are having a lot of fun with the fact that acting NNSA Associate Administrator for Defense Nuclear Security Steven Asher (above) spent a few years after retiring from the Air Force managing a Target retail store in…

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Ward Wilson Wednesdays Part 3

Another Wednesday, another Ward Wilson entry.  This one tackles two of my favorite cases: the  Yom Kippur and Falklands Islands  Wars. In case you are interesting, Parts 1 and 2 are also available. Doubts about Nuclear Deterrence, Part III: Yom…

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DPRK Test Tunnel

I can’t tell whether to irritated at Yonhap, the ROK Ministry of Defense, or both.  Read this: North Korea is believed to have detonated a nuclear device in 2009 inside a mountain tunnel elaborately designed with several traps to prevent…