Authors

Jeffrey Lewis

Writing on ACW 2004–2026 · 2,079 posts

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The Kataev Archive

Holy cow. When I read Pavel Podvig’s excellent “The Window of Vulnerability That Wasn’t: Soviet Military Buildup in the 1970s,” I was struck at his sourcing: The main source of these data is the archival collection of Vitalii Kataev at…

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Rethinking US Nuclear Posture

Mike Gerson (the one from CNA, not the Bush speechwriter) and I are giving talks on the Nuclear Posture Review at the Carnegie Endowment today — he on declaratory posture; me on extended deterrence. James Acton is moderating. It will…

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Qom Enrichment Facility Roundup

There has been a lot of back-and-forth on the blog, especially in the comments, about the ongoing revelation of Iran’s enrichment facility near Qom. A couple of points: 1. Iran has unequivocally violated its safeguards obligations James Acton laid this…

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Covert Site in Iran

The United States, France and Britain have announced that Iran is building a second centrifuge facility at a site near Qom. Laura Rozen has QandA’s and talking points from the White House. The general reaction is that “this changes everything.”…

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Off to Winnipeg

Things I know about Winnipeg: 1. It is the capital and largest city of Manitoba, Canada. 2. Bobby Hull played 411 games for the Winnipeg Jets, before the WHA merged with the NHL. 3. The University of Manitoba is hosting…

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4 Score and 7 Interceptors

Scores. No, not Scores. Scores, as in, “four score and seven years ago …” Or, as in, the US will deploy “scores” of missile defense interceptors in Europe. Bob Gates defends the Obama Administration’s shift in missile defense architecture in…

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2005 Iran NIE Details

Regular readers know that I have tried to accumulate all the information I can about the 2005 NIE on Iran’s nuclear program — it is interesting in its own right and as a predecessor to the much misunderstood 2007 NIE.…

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Gates On 'Likely Conclusions' of NPR

It’s baaaaack. SECDEF Robert Gates told the Air Force Association last week that a “ likely conclusion” of the Nuclear Posture Review will be that “in one or two cases” existing warheads would be replaced with “new designs”: SEC. GATES:…

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A Sensible Missile Defense for NATO

The Obama Administration has replaced the ground-based missile defense architecture in Europe with a series of theater missile defenses centered on the Aegis system. I think this makes a lot of sense, as regular readers know, on both technical and…

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B61 Replacement and Vacuum Tubes

You may recall the little spring dust-up that Kingston Reif and I had with STRATCOM Commander General Kevin P. Chilton over whether he should be running around with a vacuum tube in his pocket to make the case for warhead…