Authors

Geoff Forden

Writing on ACW 2008–2010 · 142 posts

Article

Monitoring or Intelligence Gathering?

The infrasound signals from North Korea’s 4 July 2006 missile launch. Infrasound has become an accepted CTBT monitoring technique in recent years with 60 infrasound stations world-wide as part of the CTBTO network. They also, however, detect a bunch of…

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DPRK: Drilling for Nuke Verification

The position measurement of the 25 May 2009 “nuclear” test, with errors. Up until now, I have been very skeptical of suggestions that the DPRK 2009 nuclear test was actually a conventional explosion. But because of a very interesting presentation…

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UCS Summer Symposium 2009

UCS Summer Symposium at Fudan University’s Center for American Studies Hello from Shanghai! I’m here in this booming Chinese city for the 21st annual UCS Summer Symposium and it’s off to a great start. For those of you who don’t…

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Do You Know What This Thing Is?

click on the image for a larger version The Iranian video apparently showing some of the manufacturing stages of the Safir two stage rocket still has a lot of information that needs to be analyzed. One important aspect is a…

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Tone Deaf in the Mid-East

The Arab Institute for Security Studies recently hosted an international conference on nuclear energy and nuclear proliferation in the Middle East. This represents a sort of trip report on that very interesting conference The Amman skyline There is a great…

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DPRK Unveils New 2 Stage Missile

It is often very hard to ferret out hard information from media reports. That is why it is so nice to be associated with so many hard working wonk-readers who pick up real information. Wonk-reader Tal Inbar sends these two…

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DPRK: Nodong Factory Floor

Wonk-reader Tal Inbar sends this image of a Nodong missile on its plant floor. Presumably, it was taken in the final assembly hall. Unfortunately, it doesn’t show some of the more interesting portions of the missile (would it have killed…

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DPRK: Launch in One Month

Timeline of the 5 April 2009 U’nha-2 Launch. Click on the image for a larger version. Ok, so I don’t have the amount of confidence in my prediction as the title seems to indicate. But everybody else is making blanket…

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DPRK: Selective treaty compliance?

North Korea is expected by just about everyone to launch at least one (and possibly two?) large missiles/rockets this weekend. And yet, they do not seem to have filed a warning to mariners and airmen notification with the International Civil…

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Missile Development Consortiums

At left, is an Iranian numerically controlled lathe milling machine forming cooling channels in a rocket engine. It is impossible to tell the scale of this engine — and therefore impossible to uniquely link it to the Safir second stage.…