This post is from June 2005. Facts and links may have changed since. See more from that month

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Katz-Hyman on Outer Space Threats


Gullible isn’t exactly the word that comes to mind …

Michael Katz-Hyman responds to an op-ed by Jim Oberg in USA Today. (I don’t see the letter on-line)

Oberg argues that most space weapons plans are unrealistic, but then blames newspapers and think tanks for “manipulating” gullible Russian and Chinese leaders like Vladimir Putin and Hu Jintao (right).

Yeah, he actually said that.

Apparently, the Jimmer doesn’t believe foreigners can think from themselves—which is how the KGB likes it.

MZK-H let that vaguely racist assumption slide, but I won’t.

Here is MZK-H’s letter in full.

USA Today
June 20, 2005
Pg. 14

Outer-Space Threats

Is the sanctity of outer space threatened by newspapers? You’d be forgiven for thinking so, based on James Oberg’s commentary “Hyperventilating over ‘space weapons’ ‘’ (The Forum, Tuesday).

According to Oberg, it’s not Pentagon space weapon plans that are fueling countries to respond, but the newspapers and non-governmental organizations that are reporting on those plans. Oberg shouldn’t blame the messenger.

While “Rods from God” and “death stars” may exist only on paper, the Pentagon has developed simpler weapons to disable and destroy satellites. While some of these have obvious dual-use, such as inspecting or refueling other satellites, others such as the Army’s Kinetic Energy Anti-Satellite are quite clear in their mission to destroy satellites.

Backing up these weapons is new doctrine from the Air Force and the Pentagon outlining possible targets, including civilian weather satellites. What is missing from this doctrine, however, is any discussion of how the United States will operate if space becomes a shooting gallery.

In low Earth orbit, objects — whether a satellite or a paint fleck — travel 10 times faster than a rifle bullet. A marble will impact a satellite with the same energy as a one-ton safe dropped from a five-story building. The debris generated by these weapons can just as easily damage or kill a friendly satellite. This is not all that far-fetched. A piece of debris from a 1985 U.S. anti-satellite test actually came within a mile of the International Space Station, an extremely small distance in space.

Space warfare may be a long way off, but the steps the United States takes today will affect the decisions we make tomorrow. Let’s lead by example and draw the line on outer-space weapons.

Michael Katz-Hyman, Henry L. Stimson Center, Washington

Jeffrey Lewis

Writing on ACW 2004–2026

Dr. Jeffrey Lewis is the founding publisher of Arms Control Wonk.com. He is the Director of the East Asia Nonproliferation Program at the James Martin Center for Nonproliferation Studies at the Middlebury Institute of International Studies at Monterey. His also a non-resident affiliate at Stanford's Center for Security and International Cooperation and a Contributing Editor to Survival.

All posts by Jeffrey Lewis