Dafna Linzer has a long article in the Washington Post describing a new National Intelligence Estimate (NIE) placing an Iranian bomb a decade or so away: A major U.S. intelligence review has projected that Iran is about a decade away from manufacturing the key ingredient for a nuclear weapon, roughly doubling the previous estimate of …
ROK Intel on North Korean Nukes
by | 2005-07-31 | No Comments
South Korea National Intelligence Service (NIS) HQ Both Jeffrey and I have written before, about whether North Korea has a deliverable nuclear weapon. Just to provide another data point, ROK intelligence reportedly assessed in February that Seoul’s northern neighbor may have nuclear devices, but probably can’t deliver them because they’re too heavy. The relevant excerpt: …
General Jew
by | 2005-07-31 | 9 Comments
Wow, my appearance on C-SPAN was interesting. I expected to dislike the Heritage Foundation’s John Tkacik, who proved pretty affable—though our politics are pretty far apart. Tkacik and I were having a civil debate about the significance of recent remarks by a Chinese General named Zhu (pronouced /joo/). Things took a decidedly bizarre turn at …
How Much Pu in a North Korean Bomb?
by | 2005-07-30 | 1 Comment
How many nuclear bombs does North Korea have? That depends on their plutonium (Pu) stockpile and design skill. In April 2004, David Sanger claimed AQ Khan told Pakistani interrogators that he saw three plutonium bombs in North Korea. Today, buried deep in a related story, he casually drops that maybe the story was bullshit: … …
