Avatar photoTunnels Near Natanz

Looks like the concrete overburden at Natanz may not be all its cracked up to be. About a year ago, I wrote that I thought the Iranian centrifuge halls at Natanz, although buried, were not likely to survive strikes by conventional, penetrating munitions. Leaked DIA estimates in 1999 suggest current penetrating munitions can hold at …

Avatar photoConventional Trident & Al Qaeda

As you may know, I have long argued that Conventional Trident is mildly pointless —I gave a talk to the National Academies of Science panel on global strike to that effect, based in part on a detailed case study of the strike on Dora Farm that opened Operation Iraqi Freedom. (One beer buys an abbreviated …

Avatar photoWe're Back

Sorry about the long pause, folks. We are now, more or less, back to normal after an extended 4th of July weekend on the Cape. So much has happened over the past week that I need to cover: Hans Kristensen positively id’ing the Chinese 094 SSBN in port, developments in Iran and North Korea, as …

Avatar photoGone Fishin'

In the last few days, Presidents Bush and Putin were meeting, talking about their wives, fishing and playing with dogs. Oh, but there is more: As a gift, Bush gave Putin a Segway transporter, and he reportedly gave it a try. The former president and first lady own three Segways and regularly zip around their …