Avatar photoNorth Korea's Next Steps

I was struggling with what to say about the increasingly dire situation in North Korea, when I discovered that Sig Hecker did it for me in the Bulletin: In summary, North Korea is capable of carrying out its threat to restart the Yongbyon plutonium production facilities; however, it is limited to adding roughly one bomb …

Avatar photoNCPC Site & 721 Report

The DNI National Counterproliferation Center (NPC) has a spiffy new website with several documents including — drumroll — the 2008 721 Report.

Avatar photoAlbert Wohlstetter on Proliferation

A belated posting from Michael Krepon’s shoebox but, I am sure Bob Zarate will agree, one worth the wait: Albert Wohlstetter worked at the RAND Corporation in the 1950s and 1960s where his analyses of surprise attack scenarios and the “delicate balance of terror” drew considerable attention. He later complemented his consulting work by teaching …

Avatar photoChina's Nuclear Stockpile, Revisited

How big is China’s nuclear stockpile? Benn Tannenbaum sends along this quote from Ed Corcoran who provides, er, a rather large range of estimates: China is neither ally nor adversary, but something in between. It is a nuclear power with a relatively modest arsenal of perhaps a couple hundred nuclear warheads, though some estimates do …