In November 1953, The American Academy of Political and Social Science issued a thin hardcover issue of The Annals, edited by Robert A. Dahl, titled The Impact of Atomic Energy. This collection of essays and book reviews appeared during a rocky phase of the nuclear competition, with the advent of thermonuclear weapons and a geopolitical …
Israel, Nuclear Weapons and the 1973 Yom Kippur War
by | 2013-10-21 | 20 Comments
One of the nicest things about relocating to Monterey is that Avner Cohen, a colleague from my days at the University of Maryland, has relocated too. Avner, like me, is a lapsed philosopher with a deep interest in nuclear weapons — there is probably no one who knows more about the Israeli nuclear weapons program. …
Statistical Diplomacy: A Bayesian Inference Tool for the P5+1+Iran Negotiations
by | 2013-10-14 | 18 Comments
This is an abridged version of the full paper Statistical Diplomacy: Nuclear Negotiating Strategy Applied to Hassan Rouhani (the result of the process I began with “Iran: So Far Away“). I have prepared it as a possible negotiation aid. It is still in working paper form. As such, comments will be thoroughly appreciated. Please email info@harryhalem.com …
Monitoring Iran
by | 2013-10-14 | 33 Comments
ACW is at the forefront, where it belongs, of a debate over the particulars of a worthwhile deal with Iran. Three underlying assumptions need to be met for these particulars to come into play: (1) maximalist conditions are set aside; (2) Tehran is willing to agree to export much of its enriched stocks of fissile …
