US intelligence agencies have been guilty of four general types of error — or more, depending on counting rules. The most costly type of error is a failure to recognize and pull together “actionable” intelligence in time to foil bad surprises. Type I errors are typically abetted by compartmentalization within the intelligence community. The failure …
Handling Iran’s Weaponization File
by | 2014-01-20 | 31 Comments
The following post was authored by Mark Hibbs and Andreas Persbo. When the six powers and Iran announced in Geneva on November 24, 2013 that they had agreed to an “initial step” toward comprehensive resolution of the nuclear crisis, some critics glumly predicted that a final deal would never materialize. It was more likely, they …
Baton Passes in Pakistan
by | 2014-01-20 | 10 Comments
We are so used to hearing bad news about Pakistan that good news can go under the radar. Since May, there has been a changing of the guard at the positions of Prime Minister, the Chief of Army Staff, the Chief Justice of the Supreme Court and the President, all without wrenching national debate or …
A Chinese “Nuclear Umbrella” for Ukraine?
by | 2014-01-16 | No Comments
No. Two of our graduate students review Chinese-language materials to shoot down that silly story from a few weeks ago about China giving Ukraine a nuclear umbrella. That’s Not What Xi Said! By Catherine Dill and Jonathan Ray Catherine Dill is a research assistant at the Center for Nonproliferation Studies. Jonathan Ray is a …
