Dave Schmerler and I observe that North Korea just moved the launch barge it keeps at the Sinpo South Shipyard to test submarine-launched ballistic missiles. On April 6, North Korean towed the barge from the secure boat basin where it…
Quotes of the week: “Changes in technology…are eroding the foundations of nuclear deterrence.” – Keir Lieber and Daryl Press, “The New Era of Counterforce” “A powerful taboo against the use of nuclear weapons has developed in the global system” —…
North Korea has been active the past few weeks, launching a set of cruise missiles (probably just coastal defense systems) and a separate set of ballistic missiles (which look like stretched KN23 short-range ballistic missiles) a few days later. But…
Quote of the week: “Anyone attempting to understand why there has been no third world war confronts a problem not unlike that of Sherlock Holmes and the dog that did not bark in the night: how does one account for…
Quote of the week: “That which can be named must exist. That which is named can be written. That which is written shall be remembered. That which is remembered lives.” — Egyptian Book of the Dead Moving on to the…
Biden campaigned on rejoining the JCPOA, but some of that enthusiasm has dried up since he took office. Aaron and Jeffrey debate what’s going on, strategies for negotiating re-joining the JCPOA, and the fallacy of letting the perfect get in…
Quote of the week: “Most of what we call civilization depends on reciprocal vulnerability.” — Thomas Schelling Note to readers: Here’s a taste of my forthcoming book, ‘Winning and Losing the Nuclear Peace: The Rise, Demise, and Revival of Arms Control.’…
Zach Cohen and Kylie Atwood have a story at CNN (New satellite images reveal North Korea took recent steps to conceal nuclear weapons site) that builds on some work Dave Schmerler and I did using images from Maxar. North Korea…
Quote of the week: “There is good as well as evil, and the man who tries to work for the good, believing in its eventual victory, while he may suffer setback and disaster, will never know defeat. The only deadly…
President Biden has extended New START for five more years. But what are we going to do with those years? How to we actually advance stability? Aaron and Jeffrey talk about the steps necessary to secure stable, effective arms control treaties, the…
