An Iran War Vibe Check
It’s been a long time, we shouldnt have left you, but we got a dope pod to step too. Or at least we think so. After a brief hiatus, Aaron and Jeffrey return to discuss the latest from the Iran…
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It Really Looks Like A PrSM
The New York Times has a second story by Christiaan Triebert, John Ismay, Alexander Cardia, Leanne Abraham and Azmat Khanout that concludes … well, the title says it all: “New Evidence Further Implicates U.S. Missiles in Strikes That Killed 21…
Analysis of Patriot Incident in Bahrain
This is the longer analysis of a news story (“Patriot Missile Involved in Bahrain Blast Likely U.S. Operated, Analysis Finds,”) we did with Jonathan Landay, M.B. Pell, and Travis Hartman at Reuters on the Patriot incident in Bahrain on March…
Guest Post: On ‘FIRMS’ Ground: Can drone innovation in Ukraine be seen from space?
Today’s Guest Post is from Josiah Durfee a Middlebury College grad and former Team member in Monterey. He is currently based in the UK where he is getting a Masters of Strategic Studies at the University of St Andrews. In…
Whither the Iranian S-300?
In light of the increasing tensions between the U.S. and Iran, the expanding American regional military presence, and the talk of potential U.S. strikes as early as tomorrow, I thought I might check in on some Iranian air defense sites…
A Chabahar Check-In
Earlier this month at an event for Iran’s Space Technology Day, Iranian Space Agency President Hassan Salarieh made a set of announcements. According to the IRGC-associated Tasnim news, alongside the inauguration of a new satellite ground station in Salmas, Salarieh…
Conscious Decoupling
U.S. Undersecretary of State Tom DiNanno accused China of conducting decoupled, low-yield nuclear tests including on June 22, 2020. Aaron and Jeffrey talk about seismic monitoring of nuclear tests, the role of hydronuclear testing, and what might be going on. …
(Just Like) New START is Over
The New START treaty has expired leaving the US and Russia without a bilateral limit on offensive strategic arms for the first time in decades. There is reportedly a handshake deal not to do anything drastic for six months while the two…
Guest Post: If You Can’t Dodge a Wrench: China May be Ill-Equipped to Deal with a Nuclear Accident or Attack
Today’s guest post is again from Jenny Moss [LinkedIn]. Snowboarder, China Analyst, Team Alumnus, in that order. This one is about PLARF detonation readiness (or rather the lack thereof). Multiple branches of the People’s Liberation Army (PLA) feel they are…
Oreshnik Again
Russia has deployed the Oreshnik system in Belarus and then, from Russia, conducted another Oreshnik test. Jefffrey and Aaron discuss how the open source team found the deployment site in Belarus before Russia announced it, what they think Oreshnik is,…