Avatar photoThomas Schelling: Compellence in Asia

For the first part of this two-part essay, see: Thomas Schelling: Deterrence in Europe. (Now with minor corrections and an update in the middle of the post.) * * * So much for Europe. Let’s consider the role of events in Asia in shaping Schelling’s ideas. “The brink” is the central metaphor in Schelling’s explanation …

Avatar photoThomas Schelling: Deterrence in Europe

(Now with updates and minor corrections, for extra goodness.) When I came to the University of Maryland College Park for grad school in the fall of 1998, I didn’t have to buy either The Strategy of Conflict or Arms and Influence, having inherited the battered copies my parents shared in college. That was a tiny …

Avatar photoYear End Blues

The year ends on many somber notes – the election of Donald Trump, his modus operandi and appointments to senior positions, the push on Capitol Hill to expand national missile defenses and to once again explore space-based systems, and the deaths of Tom Schelling, Sid Drell, and John Newhouse. Many signs now point to the …

Avatar photoTracking Preparations at the Korla Missile Test Base

The end of the year has been hectic, and I would forgive you if you missed a Bill Gertz article from earlier this month about preparations for an anti-satellite/missile defense test in China at the Korla Missile Test Base. I almost missed the story, but I’m especially glad that I didn’t. As we finally end …